The SDA 2022 Midterm Results Contest

In the 2022 mid-terms, there are 35 U.S. Senate seats on the ballot.

The U.S. Senate has 50 Republicans and 50 Democrats (including two independents). Democrats control the chamber as the vice-president can break tie votes. There are 35 seats up in 2022 – including a special election in Oklahoma – of which 21 are held by the GOP. That party can retake control with a net gain of one or more seats.

In the House, all 435 districts are up for grabs.

The seats of all 435 representatives will be up for election. The seats of five of the six non-voting members of the U.S. House will be up for election as well.

The results of the 2022 U.S. House elections will determine whether Democrats maintain their majority or Republicans gain control of the chamber. Heading into the election, Democrats hold a 220-212 majority in the U.S. House with three vacancies. Republicans need to gain a net of five districts to win a majority in the chamber.

And don’t forget the Governors.

Of the 36 gubernatorial seats up for re-election in 2022, twenty are Republican, and sixteen are Democrat.

Republicans are defending six governorships in states President Joe Biden (D) won in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Vermont.

Democrats are defending one governorship in a state that Donald Trump won (R) in 2020: Kansas.

This interactive map may help.

CONTEST INSTRUCTIONS. READ CAREFULLY.

Predict Tuesday’s outcomes using this gains/losses format, as in this example:

Senate Gains:
Republicans +1
House Gains:
Republicans +18
Governorship Gains:
Republicans -2

TOTAL Republican Gain(-Loss): +17

Results will be scored as below – the bigger the miss, the higher your score. The entry coming closest to 0 in total predictions will win a book from the SDA Free Book Library;

Prediction
Senate: Republicans -2
House: Republicans +12
Governor: Republicans +1
Total score:
Results
Senate: Republicans +5
House: Republicans +15
Governor: Republicans +1
.
Score
7
3
0
10

In event of a tie, the entry that comes closest to the House outcome will be the tiebreaker. I have no idea when the contest results will be finalized, because we never know when a pipe may burst. Entries will close at NOON Eastern tomorrow.

Entries with excessive commentary will be deleted. Off topic will be deleted. This is not a discussion thread.

108 Replies to “The SDA 2022 Midterm Results Contest”

  1. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +3
    House Gains:
    Republicans +16
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans +2

    My official entry is in the mail. It should show up on Friday.

  2. Maybe we should add an extra element to this. What time will Felonia Von Pantsuit go on CNN and claim widespread fraud in the districts that flip GOP?

  3. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +4
    House Gains:
    Republicans +30
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans +6

    TOTAL Republican Gain(-Loss): +40

  4. Senate: Republicans +5
    House: Republicans +51
    Governors: Republicans +5

    Takes into account the fraud, without which these numbers would be even higher.

  5. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +7
    House Gains:
    Republicans +43
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans +8

    Add in State Level Legislatures and State wide Offices – A wipeout bigger than 2010 and 2014

  6. I’m thinking more a red wash, than a Tsumani. I also predict this continues in 2024 as more awaken from stupor!
    House R + 16
    Senate R + 6
    Governor R + 5

  7. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +8
    House Gains:
    Republicans +10
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans +12

  8. Senate Gains: Republicans +5
    House Gains: Republicans +35
    Governorship Gains: Republicans +3

    TOTAL Republican Gain(-Loss): +43

  9. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +5
    House Gains:
    Republicans +26
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans +2

    TOTAL Republican Gain: +33

    Short on-topic commentary: The Republicans are actually going to win more than this, but electoral fraud in states where Democrats control the process will reduce their numbers. We will see a pattern of Republican sweeps in states where the electoral process is fairly legit, but long drawn-out poll counts in Democrat states that eventually result in narrow Democrat victories. The most egregious will probably be in Pennsylvania.

  10. Before midnight ___________ After midnight

    Senate +10 ________________ Senate +1 Rep

    House +45 _________________ House +2 Rep

    Governors +6 ______________ stays at +6

    Net result: CW2.0

  11. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +3
    House Gains:
    Republicans +30
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans +4

    TOTAL Republican Gain(-Loss): +37

  12. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +2
    House Gains:
    Republicans +20
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans -1
    TOTAL Republican Gain(-Loss): +21

  13. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +3
    House Gains:
    Republicans +22
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans +4

    TOTAL Republican Gain(-Loss): +27

  14. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +6
    House Gains:
    Republicans +44
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans +4

    TOTAL Republican Gain(-Loss): +54

  15. Senate Republicans +10 Supermajority, ha!
    House Republicans +43 whooey!
    Governors Republican + 8

  16. Senate GOP +2
    House GOP +24
    Governors: GOP: +-0

    Oh, and endless recounts, disputes and shenanigans!!

  17. Senate: Republicans +2
    House: Republicans +16
    Governorship: Republicans +2
    ****************************
    Hoping for better results, but realizing we are dealing with the average voter here.

  18. Senate -0 House -Republicans +2 Governers +2 Republican Democracy must be saved and it worked last time,

  19. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +5
    House Gains:
    Republicans +36
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans +4

  20. Senate Gains: Republicans +3
    House Gains: Republicans +20
    Governorship Gains: Republicans +3

  21. Senate Gains:
    Republicans +7
    House Gains:
    Republicans +53
    Governorship Gains:
    Republicans +4

    TOTAL Republican Gain(-Loss): +64

  22. House – Republicans – plus 65
    Senate – Republicans – plus 8
    Governorships – Republicans – Plus 7

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