The long wait is over – your 2024 US Election prediction thread is finally here!
In addition to the Presidency, there are 435 seats in the House to be decided: Republicans hold 221 and Democrats 214. 35 Senate seats are up for grabs, currently held by 21 Democrats and 11 Republicans.
To play, leave your prediction (one per person) in the comments, using the format below. The thread is only for predictions, entries with excessive commentary will be rejected.
Presidency: Trump or Harris
435 House: R vs D
35 Senate: R vs D
Tie Breaker: Presidency popular vote (ie. 51.4% )
Winner of the contest (whenever it’s finally decided) will receive their choice of a copy of Bulletproof or Something Lost, Something Gained. (If there’s no clear winner and the whole mess breaks down into riots and mayhem, then everyone gets the Hillary book).
Or, ‘Felon vs Deep State Puppet’?
Presidency: Trump
House: R 236 vs D 199
Senate: 21 vs 14
Presidency popular vote 55.4%
Trump has assembled a dream team.
President: Harris
House: 220 Republican 215 Democrat
Senate: 16 Republican 19 Democrat
Popular vote: 48.2% Trump, 51.8% Harris
Numbers include voter fraud.
President Donald J Trump w 55% of popular vote and carries Penn.
House 235 R 200 D
Senate 52 R 48 D
Governors, 28 R, 22 D … the R gain one in NH
*and some minor rioting
House: R=235, D=200
Senate: R=20, D=15
Popular Vote: R=54%
If Trump wins a landslide in a fake election, what will that accomplish?
Presidency: Trump
House: 224 Republican 211 Democrat
Senate: 18 Democrats 17 Republican
Presidency popular vote 53.2%
I think Harris will win just by not being Trump. I hope I am wrong.
Some voters will think it important that she is female and non white. Half the population will vote for her reflexively because of her identity characteristics.
Most people are emotional and want to like the candidate they support, with no focus on policies. They see Trump as so obnoxious that they don’t care about policy. Many will buy the “Orange menace threatens democracy” BS so heavily pushed in the media, when in fact US democracy is much more robust than Canada’s whipped voting tyranny of the majority. Others will focus on his having received guilty verdicts, because they’re unfamiliar with how the US Justice system works.
A Harris presidency is very bad for Canada. Trump wants to end our dairy cartel, reduce taxes and approve our pipelines. Harris will provide cover for future Canadian governments who want to smash the oil and gas industry, tax and spend and obsess about dangerous distractions like climate hysteria and DEI.
President: Trump 312 Electoral votes – carries ALL swing States
House: 220 (R) 215 (D)
Senate: 19 (R) 16 (D)
Popular vote: Trump 55%
Trump
Senate– 18 deomorat, 14 republican
house– 211 demorat, 224 republican
assuming of course that voter fraud is not over the top.
President: Trump
House: R225 D210
Senate: R56 D44
Popular vote: Trump 51%
Trump ( 54.1% )
House R 236, D 199
Senate R 16, D 19
If you’re right about the Senate … America is doomed
Old style prediction (Electoral college)
Trump: 339 Harris:199 (Trump wins 7 BG states plus MN, NH, and VA)
Have not followed House of Representatives
Senate R(15) D(19)
Popular vote Trump 51.5% Harris 48.5%
Senate comment above needs updating (34 senate seats: 23D[includes 4 In] and 11R)
These 3 lines may be deleted after updating
https://www.270towin.com/2024-senate-election/
Pres – Trump
House – R 229 D 206
Sen – R 18 D 17
Presidency – Trump
House D-210
R-225
Senate D- 16
R – 16
Popular vote – Trump 50.7%
President: Trump
House: 231R 204D
Senate: 22R 13D
Popular vote: Trump! Trump! Trump! 54.7%
President: Trump
House: 225R 210D
Senate: 17R 15D
Popular vote: 49% – 49%
Trump.
House – R = 233
D =202
Senate – R = 20
D = 15
Popular Vote – Trump = 50.3%
Harris = 46.7%